- Suburbanites: Republicans do well among rural voters. Democrats do well among urban voters. The suburbs are the battleground. Whichever party wins the suburbs will win the election.
- Latinos: Bush won 44% of the Latino vote in 2004. Though not a majority, this is good for a Republican. It helped Bush win some swing states with large Latino populations, such as
New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, and . If Obama wins a significant number of these Latino-Bush voters he could win these swing states. Florida
- Catholics: Typically, Catholics divide their votes almost evenly between Republicans and Democrats. Bush won the Catholic vote in 2004, running against a Catholic. Who will win the Catholic vote this time?
- Married Females: Traditionally, Republicans do well among married females. But in the 2006 midterms, they lost the married female vote, and lost a lot of seats in Congress.
- Reagan Democrats: Or sometimes called conservative Democrats. Sen. Clinton did well with these voters in the primaries. Will they stick with their party and vote Obama, or vote for McCain? These voters could make a difference in some important swing states, such as
Pennsylvaniaand . Ohio
After the polls come out, I will write another post letting you know the results for each of these. What will you be looking for?